Integrating IPAT and CLUMondo Models to Assess the Impact of Carbon Peak on Land Use

China’s growth plans include a carbon emission peak policy, which is restriction that indirectly impacts land use structure. In this study, we simulate different paths for achieving policy objectives, and explore the linkages between those change. The IPAT model was used to emissions generated from natural development scenario, an ideal retributive scenario in China 2020 2030. simulation results were incorporated into CLUMondo as demand driver change show can somewhat reduce increase building regulated way. However, may also lead short-term surge emissions, reactive expansion of arable land. This losses economic when are limited, but does not achieve integration social, economic, ecological goals. study links with provides fresh perspective on Chinese government’s reduction policy.